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  F on Thursday, 3 December
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wijram  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 6:23 am
From: wijram <wij...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 03:23:14 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 6:23 am
Subject: F on Thursday, 3 December
Great Mornin' to Ye, Think Tank & All~

Got one cup of coffee down already and am ready to watch this pup have
one heck of a good day.  Now, to find out if it will happen ~ or not.

Actually, things are lookin' quite good.

Overnight was fine in the major Asian markets:  while Shanghai was
down .16%, Hong Kong was UP 1.19% and the Nikkei SOARED up 3.84%.  Not
sure why China was up so much, but will try to have something on that
later.

Europe is more consistent, with London UP .43%, the DAX UP .76% and
Paris UP .97% in what is still relatively early trading.

Oil is UP $.59 (.77%) to $79.19.

At 7:00 eastern, the DJIA futures are UP  36 pts and the S & P futures
are UP 4.200 pts.

For those that find the Pivot Point numbers useful, here are the
numbers for F for today:

++++++

 Standard
R3 9.24333
R2 9.15667
R1 9.08333
PP 8.99667
S1 8.92333
S2 8.83667
S3 8.76333
Observation: BULLISH with a closing price between pivot point and R1.
++++++++

In the news ~

A brief clip about a new offer on for Volvo from the Crown Consortium:
++++
Two Former Executives Of Ford Motor Company Submitted Revised Bid For
Volvo unit-DJ
Wednesday, 2 Dec 2009 07:58pm EST
Dow Jones reported that A consortium led by two former Ford Motor
Company executives submitted a revised bid this week for Ford's Volvo
unit in hopes of beating out a rival offer by Zhejiang Geely Holding
Group Co. The so-called Crown consortium is led by former Ford
director Michael Dingman and former Ford and Chrysler LLC executive
Shamel Rushwin.
++++

And another, longer story about the "preferred" bidder for Volvo,
Geely
++++
Thomson Reuters
UPDATE 1-Geely soars to all-time high on parent's move
12.01.09, 11:35 PM EST

HONG KONG, Dec 2 (Reuters) - Shares of Geely Auto rose 9.3 percent to
an all-time high on Wednesday, boosted by a report that its parent was
a step closer to completing its acquisition of Ford Motors's Volvo
unit.

Geely shares rose to as high as HK$4.24 before steadying at HK$4.18 in
late morning, still up 7.7 percent, with 139 million shares changing
hands.

'The probability (for the parent to complete the deal) is much higher
now,' said Olive Xia, analyst at Core Pacific Yamichi. 'If completed,
it will do good to the listed company in the long run in areas such as
production technology. It will further enhance its brand and image.'

Xia holds a positive view of the mainland auto market on optimism over
China's consumer market as the country's economy keeps up its strong
growth momentum.

Zhejiang Geely Holding Group, the Chinese carmaker picked as the
preferred bidder for Ford Motor ( F - news - people )'s Volvo unit, is
seeking at least $1 billion in loans from Chinese banks to finance its
$1.8 billion bid, sources told Reuters on Tuesday.

Shares of other Chinese car makers were also higher on Wednesday, with
car and battery maker BYD surging to more than a month high at HK
$77.90 before steadying at HK$77.05, still up 3.98 percent.
++++

In other news~

"Bank of America to Repay All $45 Billion in TARP Funds", apparently
so that they can pay more to their next CEO.

and, in the same vein,

"GM Faces Challenge Luring Top Talent in CEO Search".

as well as one that appears to have pulled down the DJIA a little,

"Costco Kicks off Retail Sales Reports with a Miss"

I am not seeing any looming economic data reports that are due out
today that might have heavy impact on the markets.

At this relatively early hour, 6:15 eastern, we really have no read of
where F will open the earliest pre-markets.

So we are left where we always are at this hour on a trading day ~
wondering what the day will bring and hoping that YOU will share your
thoughts on that matter.  Yesterday, several relative newbies made
contributions and one hit the opening price on the head.  So why don't
YOU share your thoughts today?

The questions most in mind are ~ At what price will F open the regular
markets;  how low will she dip during the trading day; high HIGH will
the price of F reach during the regular trading markets and where, oh
where will F close the regular markets?

Come ON - give it a try.  We would really appreciate getting YOUR
perspective.


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Mr. Matt  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 7:18 am
From: "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 04:18:23 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 7:18 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Wij and friends,

Top of tha Mornin' to ya... Like you I have my cup o coffee myeslf and
mmm darn good just like today should be.  As always thank you again
for doing your DD and posting the market news and job news and F
articles.  AS I dont have alot of time here I need to get back to a
few things on my work agenda I would like to state I dont think the
job report will have a huge impact negatively on F and if it does it
should be very minimal.  I think if good news came out it may be of
good benefit.  The reason I state this is because Ford is working on a
economic work force relief efffort and raising funds for the workforce
if you got a chance to see what I posted the other day.

As for Pricing in F today I will let all be the judge of that.  I say
if you get in at $9.00 or slightly lower $8.98 it would not be a bad
thing.  If you sell at $9.20 and buy the next dip its not a bad
thing.  If you hold out longer term its not a bad think.

You always ask think tank and all... My answer to you today is me no
thinks tank!!!

I posted my technical analysis on last nights thread however I think
it was too late. (I am sure I will get flack from Edin but I dont give
a rats arse! - if anything I hope it gives him a good synopsis layout
for him)

Ok here goes the updated tech chart which I think some of you will be
very happy to see and confirms we are in the swings with 9's.... Go F
Rah Rah Rah!!!

Note:  Edin this is for you as well.  Take it as you will but I am
sticking to my guns here... A lot of funds in this that have pushed
the
price and chart action as they have!

Chart Breakdown!  you can adjust your Monthly view below the chart to
give a better and broader view.  The below analysis is based on the 11
month the 2nd link for your entertainment I have provided a 6 month
chart as well.

11 Month Chart (9 month movement upward)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=F&p=D&yr=0&mn=11&dy=0&id=p48286705723
6 Month Chart (continued movement upward)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=F&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p23915960639

1.  Forecast uptrend confirmed by 11 month chart - Steady rise and
barriers broken (explained below)

2.  EMA (12) days downtrend attempt was very important today the
candles dominated and broke EMA factor - excellent sign as the stock
could not be held down (time is on our side guys) - Tested at the red
candle towards end of chart but price action rose against it.

3.  MA (26) days well below the candles - excellent sign as stock
continues to move up away breaking average movement over 26 days

4.  BB  Stock is neither touching top or bottom BB and rises above the
BB moving average this is a nice signal that the stock price action is
healthy again trending proven a success

5.  MACD convergence is steady running above the moving average Green
above red is good the closeness in gap shows that there is a
consistent steady in price action while this be it does conclude that
there seems to be major support happening.  You will see October -
November there are lower highs vs November - December higher highs.
Between October and December you will see a higher low than between
September - November  - More proof we are gapping up.  Very similar
between march - mid April.  Very important to notice the MACD bounced
back up between November and December.

6.  Trix is showing very nice bullish patterns more-so than your
bearish postings (of course our timings will affect you and I
completely different).

Ok can we say F is a Bull!!!  Edin I see your concern if you don't
look at the whole chart in your case puts/calls options is much more
of concern price factor than the average joe investor/day-trader.

This concludes today forgive me if any typos... Somewhat drained.

Edin I see the option gaps you play.  You and I are in a different
league with our trades here so this overview will speak to us
different.  For you you would play those drawbacks before the next
upward movement.  For me I play the dips in stocks (not options)

Gl2ALL

On Dec 3, 6:23 am, wijram <wij...@gmail.com> wrote:


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wijram  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 7:40 am
From: wijram <wij...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 04:40:50 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 7:40 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Think Tank & All~

A quick update ~

The opening spread in the directed trades market at the 7:00 eastern
open were wider than normal.  Bid was $8.93 while the ask was $9.06.
Offerings on both sides were thin.

By 7:08, the spread had narrowed to $8.95 - $9.05.

DJIA at UP 30 pts and the S & P at UP 3.2999.

By 7:12, while the spreads are the same, the bids are filling in and
the sizes are gaining strength.

By 7:18, NOTHING has changed.

'Tis now 7:30 eastern ~ still the same spread and still NO trades.

7:31, spread narrowed to $8.98 - $9.05.

'Tis now 7:40 eastern.  Still no trades.  The spread is the same.

I'm going to be gone for a bit, so sending this out now as an update.
Should have had action before I get back.

On Dec 3, 5:23 am, wijram <wij...@gmail.com> wrote:


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Mr. Matt  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:00 am
From: "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:00:55 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:00 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Wij, here is one for you.  Great fundamental.  Volvo involved in a
bidding war now!!! Ford has companies in a bidding war now.  They
could receive alot more than they expected for volvo.  This is great
news.

On Dec 3, 7:40 am, wijram <wij...@gmail.com> wrote:


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Gotluck  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:01 am
From: Gotluck <rsgotl...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:01:53 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:01 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Good Morning TT and all,

I have a question for the Think Tank: Ford said there will be an
offering this month. I haven't heard of a pre announced offering yet
so it sounds unusual to me. The VEBA payment is also coming up. Is it
possible that the offering IS the VEBA payment...or at least the %
part of it?

Go blue.
Still gotluck.

On Dec 3, 7:40 am, wijram <wij...@gmail.com> wrote:


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from Toronto  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:05 am
From: from Toronto <lo...@rogers.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:05:57 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:05 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Something strange is happening.  Not only no Ford trades in the pre-
market, but in Frankfurt, the last price for Ford shares was $9.04 and
they reached the average daily volume in the first two hours - then no
trades in the 3 hours since then.

Any news of a market halt or pending announcement?  I am searching now
- appreciate any help any of you can give.

On Dec 3, 7:40 am, wijram <wij...@gmail.com> wrote:


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Gotluck  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:06 am
From: Gotluck <rsgotl...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:06:16 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:06 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Also, to add to wijram with an update, Bid/Ask showing 9.03/9.05.

OHLC guess, 9.04 9.09 8.98 9.03  with the financials stealing the
thunder for the day.

On Dec 3, 8:01 am, Gotluck <rsgotl...@gmail.com> wrote:


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edin  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:08 am
From: edin <milpr...@aol.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:08:27 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:08 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
wijram
I am cautiously very very optimistic.
PM large wall at bid 9.03 & large one at 9.07 at ask

mffais.com
should 2 new large Fund buys
reported 2009-11-30   AsOf date 2009-09-30

HR/A Arnhold And S Bleichroeder Advisers Llc Institution 1,799,852
Added More 837,482
N-Q Fidelity Hastings Street Trust - Fidelity Fund Specialty & Misc
2,849,200 New Holding 2,849,200
 Lord Abbett Series Fund Inc - International Portfolio International
Multi-Cap Core 1,609,200 New Holding 1,609,200

Mr Matt

catalyst catalyst catalyst?
your answer a chart ,,,, flat for 2 weeks, is a good thing
As a Long I agree with you ... & a pullback is part of the healing
process

in another thread, you didnt like me labeling you a newbee
which you are a newbee - so be polite
Chart work & tech do UNTIL they dont
& speaking about march / april chart vs today is full of flaws.

BUT in someway calling me a Bear on F ... thats funny actually
I was bluntly and honestly expressing to others
hey proceed with caution...
alot of it.
............
catalyst catalyst catalyst?
Toronto yesterday listed 2

at near these levels yes Momentum trade could kick in...
& obviously key would be closing obove 9.15 or so.

& if wijram is correct ,,, we continue upward
modest short squeeze catalyst
should happen

.............

On Dec 3, 7:18 am, "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com> wrote:

...

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Mr. Matt  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:08 am
From: "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:08:31 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:08 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
geez

re-Market
Last:   $ 9.03  Pre-Market
High:   $ 9.03
Pre-Market
Volume:         19,500  Pre-Market
Low:    $ 9.03

Someone bought a block of 19,500 at $9.03

On Dec 3, 8:01 am, Gotluck <rsgotl...@gmail.com> wrote:


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Dave Bronson  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:16 am
From: Dave Bronson <dave.bron...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:16:01 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:16 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Pre market is up right now, so I have some warm fuzzies telling me
that F could have a decent day.  My gut instinct still tells me to
sell at the first upwards spike (assuming that there is one), but
we'll see.

On Dec 3, 8:08 am, "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com> wrote:


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Mr. Matt  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:17 am
From: "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:17:10 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:17 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Look Edin,  So what if I am new (I think I am doing damn good for
being fairly new to transitioning from investing to technical
trader).  I have learned from mistakes and I am sure I will have some
mistakes to go.  So I take constructive criticism but to flat out
insult me as a newb instead of a different approach that was uncalled
for especially when I try to contribute to this board.  I don't expect
everyone to follow my advice but comment if you well however let your
comments be mature!  We are all here for the same reason to make
money.  So lets drop it and work together to improve the view of F
stock as a whole!  Forgive me for calling you a bear!~

On Dec 3, 8:08 am, edin <milpr...@aol.com> wrote:

...

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wijram  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:34 am
From: wijram <wij...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:34:34 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:34 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Think Tank & All~

Back.

And I like what I see.

With an hour to go before the opening of the full markets, F has
already hit $9.06, although the last trades are back at $9.05.  Does
this indicate that we might see an R1 ($9.08) GAP UP opening?

Hey David Bronson ~
How about giving us your precise predictions for today.  Go for 2-
fer-2.  PLEASE.

If we do get a R1 opening, can we reach R2 or even R3 today?

Your thoughts, anyone?

On Dec 3, 7:17 am, "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com> wrote:

...

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edin  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:37 am
From: edin <milpr...@aol.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:37:26 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:37 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Rorytate

the Tell the again..,,

TT
et al

TM, nissian, honda ... all up over 5% wow
Dai & bmw up 2%
euro up  .70%
OBVIOUSLY all signs WE are about to fly !

but .. theres very little PM volume
only 100k as of 8.36am .. torontos pocket change ....

&& Im utterly confused...
why is Bac up only 1/2 dollar
& GE 10 cent

Mr Matt
deal!
I'll stop the teasing
You offically are accepted at the TT
we are on the same team .. for now

Just a little comment march cycle was a wild ride
rolling to april much the same...
honestly it was a War out there .. all shiitt aside
War without guns

On Dec 3, 8:17 am, "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com> wrote:

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Mr. Matt  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:37 am
From: "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:37:02 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:37 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
$9.07 pre-market.

On Dec 3, 8:17 am, "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com> wrote:

...

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wijram  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:40 am
From: wijram <wij...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:40:37 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:40 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Hey edin~

FINALLY, got it figured out.

I know what the BIG CATALYST was that is propelling us UP today.

You!  That is, your rather stongly worded expressions of a pretty
negative view of the future movement of the price of F common stock
during this post sales announcement period!

Guess it shocked the Gods as much as it shocked some of us more mortal
beings.

Anyway.... Thanks, me friend.

By the way, I still think you were RIGHT in your decision to move out
of those December calls!

On Dec 3, 7:34 am, wijram <wij...@gmail.com> wrote:

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Mr. Matt  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:41 am
From: "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:41:39 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:41 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Indeed I agree with march which is why I pointed out that is where the
rah rah started.  Now lets make some cash

On Dec 3, 8:37 am, edin <milpr...@aol.com> wrote:

...

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wijram  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:43 am
From: wijram <wij...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:43:26 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:43 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Think Tank & All~

More fuel for the surge UP.

Just off of the wires:

+++
Number of people filing first-time unemployment claims fell last week
to 457,000, U.S. says, the lowest level since September 2008.

++++

So much for the accuracy of the ADP data yesterday!

GREAT news.

On Dec 3, 7:40 am, wijram <wij...@gmail.com> wrote:

...

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wijram  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:48 am
From: wijram <wij...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:48:38 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:48 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Think Tank & All~

Full story:

++++++
Jobless Claims Drop Again; Productivity Shows 8.1% Gain
Published: Thursday, 3 Dec 2009 | 8:38 AM ET Text Size By: Reuters

The number of U.S. workers filing new applications for jobless
insurance unexpectedly fell last week to the lowest level in more than
14 months, government data showed on Thursday, pointing to a
moderation in the pace of job losses.

Separately, non-farm productivity was slightly less robust than
previously thought in the third quarter as workers earned more money
and output rose at a slower pace, government data showed on Thursday.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits slipped 5,000 to a
seasonally adjusted 457,000 in the week ended Nov. 28 from a
downwardly revised 462,000 in the prior week, the Labor Department
said. Claims have dropped for five consecutive weeks.

Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast claims rising to 480,000 from
a previously reported 466,000.

The report covers the Thanksgiving holiday and a Labor Department
economist said both actual and seasonally adjusted claims were down.

The labor market is viewed as the biggest threat to the economy's
recovery from the worst recession since the 1930s.

New filings for jobless aid are being watched for signs of when job
losses might bottom.

Applications have dropped significantly from March's high levels, but
are still above the 400,000 mark that analysts say would signal
payrolls growth.

However, the number of workers still collecting benefits after an
initial week of aid rose 28,000 to 5.47 million in the week ended Nov
21, after declining for 10 straight weeks.

This was below market expectations for 5.48 million.

So-called continuing claims are down from a peak of 6.9 million in
June. The four-week moving average of continuing claims fell 75,750 to
5.54 million. The insured unemployment rate, which measures the
percentage of the insured labor force that is jobless, was unchanged
at 4.1 percent in the week ended Nov. 21.

Productivity Gains

The Labor Department said non-farm productivity rose at an 8.1 percent
annual rate, still the quickest pace since the third quarter of 2003,
rather than the 9.5 percent rate predicted last month.

Productivity, which measures hourly output per worker, grew at a 6.9
percent pace in the April-June period. Analysts polled by Reuters had
forecast growth in third quarter productivity being revised down to
8.5 percent.

Total non-farm output in the third quarter grew at a 2.9 percent pace,
rather than 4 percent, the department said.

Output dropped at a 1.1 percent rate in the previous period.

Aggressive cost cutting by businesses has pushed productivity sharply
higher over the past months. That, combined with a surge in profits
during the quarter, has convinced analysts that companies may start
hiring and help the economy's recovery.

The economy grew at a 2.8 percent annual pace in the July-September
period after four straight quarters of decline.

Hours worked fell at a 4.8 percent rate in the third quarter, instead
of the 5 percent pace estimated last month, the department said.

Unit labor costs, a gauge of inflation and profit pressures closely
watched by the Federal Reserve, fell 2.5 percent, less than the 5.2
percent previously estimated.

Unit labor costs were flat in the second quarter. They were previously
estimated to have dropped 6.1 percent. Analysts had expected the fall
in unit labor costs during the third quarter to be revised to show a
4.2 percent drop.

Compensation per hour rose at a faster 5.4 percent pace and, adjusted
for inflation, was up 1.8 percent. Hourly compensation had previously
been estimated to have risen 3.8 percent.
+++++++++

On Dec 3, 7:43 am, wijram <wij...@gmail.com> wrote:

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Dave Bronson  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:49 am
From: Dave Bronson <dave.bron...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:49:03 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:49 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
My off-the-cuff, tip-of-the-tongue, wild and completely uninformed
prediction for the closing price today is: 9.07, following a nice run
up to 9.12 in the first hour of trading.

If we have another UP day, I wonder what the chances are that we'll
see a push for 9.50 or 10 in the coming weeks?

On Dec 3, 8:34 am, wijram <wij...@gmail.com> wrote:

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edin  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 8:50 am
From: edin <milpr...@aol.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 05:50:01 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 8:50 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
w,

lol
thats paris hilton
hottt

 someone else here wear  the "stupor hero cape"
give me a # wijram ... please
"stupor induced"
just say it

you! pls

(I will play along & confuse the Devil - reaper & stock gods, to WILL
this up together)

On Dec 3, 8:40 am, wijram <wij...@gmail.com> wrote:

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Charlie Foreigner  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 9:08 am
From: Charlie Foreigner <cajolum...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 06:08:06 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 9:08 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Mr Matt,
I would add the following observations:
1.- Stock touched on the upper portion of the BB and thus should move
to the opposite end. Not too far if the BB contracts.
2.- More imporantly. F started on an uptrend on Oct 30th and Ended on
Nov 18th when the trend broke.
3.- Since the trend broke it has moved horizontally between $8.50 &
9:00
4.- There could be a double top forming at $9:00

I am neither bearish not bullish.

On Dec 3, 6:18 am, "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com> wrote:


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wijram  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 9:13 am
From: wijram <wij...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 06:13:19 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 9:13 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
edin & All~

With such an inducement how can I refuse.

So with eyes glazed over, full stupor completely induced,

and trying to win back the "spirit" earned by Toronto yesterday,

here are the numbers:

Open:  Hell, gotta go with R1 ($9.08), although I really like David
Bronson's carefully crafted assessment of $9.07.

Dip:  NOT below yesterday's after hours close of $8.98

High:  Can we really clear R3 and reach $9.25?

Close:  What the heck - above $9.25.

In review folks, this ain't a stupor, this is full-blown case of
delirium!

But what a HONK it would be....

On Dec 3, 7:50 am, edin <milpr...@aol.com> wrote:

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Rooty  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 9:23 am
From: Rooty <justinpaulmar...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 06:23:45 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 9:23 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
Green across the board. My "mini dow" is up .5% to 2.5% across.
Financials up 2.-2.5% retail, tech, and industrials up .5-.8%

The test for Ford is the 52 week high. If that is bested all bets are
off. If it cannot be overcome, then I fear a dip back into the mid to
high $8's will be on the dance card through the end of December. That
is, back to the doldrums.

My fear is the 52 week high cannot be overcome, the overall market
rolls over (which it is primed to do if it does not break out) Then
you have a perfect storm for a retrace. Just short term. 3-5 weeks,
but a retrace none the same. IF Ford can break new ground and drive
past the 52 week high we could see a new trading range above $9.25
even with a general market pull back. The good news is that if $9.25
breaks it pretty much takes $8.40 out of the picture.  Right now $8.40
is on the table, especially if the dilution comes through this month.

Edin, I bought the puts as well. I have seen this story too many
times. We have seen a good 5-8% pull back a few days after EVERY
monthly sales call for the last 6 months. This is even more
exaggerated after earnings. BUT we are pulling out of a recession, we
are in December and people need some money for all those Christmas
presents, AND< AND< AND most importantly, we have seen some whacked
out sh*t (technical term) with Ford over the last 6 weeks with Driver
and Suppressor. So I am not so sure we repeat past patterns.  Again,
if we break the 52 week high all bets are off.

Full disclosure. I am in a some what hedged position. Long ford
common, $5 Jan 2011 calls (deep in the money and no plans to sell
until next tax season) and short term puts to protect against downside
until earning season in January.

Ford WILL be around $11-$12 in February. Just not positive about the
direction in December.  Happy trading y'all.

On Dec 3, 8:50 am, edin <milpr...@aol.com> wrote:

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Rooty  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 9:36 am
From: Rooty <justinpaulmar...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 06:36:02 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 9:36 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
She is trying for it......

On Dec 3, 9:23 am, Rooty <justinpaulmar...@gmail.com> wrote:

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Mr. Matt  
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 More options Dec 3 2009, 9:37 am
From: "Mr. Matt" <matthew.smallw...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Dec 2009 06:37:46 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 3 2009 9:37 am
Subject: Re: F on Thursday, 3 December
looking nice so far hopefully it will spike to $9.20 today.

On Dec 3, 9:23 am, Rooty <justinpaulmar...@gmail.com> wrote:

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