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Message from discussion Stock price valuation...
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pettye.s1...@student.sanjac.edu  
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 More options May 8 2008, 5:03 am
From: Pettye.S1...@student.sanjac.edu
Date: Thu, 8 May 2008 02:03:43 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, May 8 2008 5:03 am
Subject: Re: Stock price valuation...
Don't worry.  Those numbers are incorrect anyway.  Especially the
Outstanding and Inst. Own #'s.

Learn to analyze the ticker because those numbers, F P/E, are derived
from Analysts.  When you're in a blue chip stock like MSFT, ignore the
news and even analysts Buy/Sell ratings.

Instead, watch the BIG Fish, aka Fund Managers (If you can't day trade
with $10million you're a SMALL Fish).

Example: Yesterday they shorted and bough 5 million @ 29.07 on the
close.  If they didn't turn a profit in after/pre market, the price
will go up from Regular Investors, and the Managers will short when
the reach thier goal.  So what do you do?

Look at the News.  A big sale that is followed by good news is BAD.
(They're trying to drum up volume and then unload more shares)
A big sale that is followed by bad news is GOOD. (They're testing the
fear/greed variance; sometimes they will leave the stock alone for a
few days to a week, and let the price drop from fear selling b/c of
low volume.

Never stray from the big picture or trust the news.  Even if the News
company is legit, the company reserves the right to restate financials
for up to a year!!! (MSFT could announce tomorrow that they made a
mistake in Accounting back in '07)

Analyzing Stock Tickers and Graphs is your best bet (Too see if big
fish were selling or buying).  Why rely on Analysts that lie (Most are
being arrested, or in Affidavit of Probable Cause (Grand Jury Felony
hearing))

If big fish are buying, which drums the price up, and selling/leaving
it alone, that's a good sign.  They are wanting more shares, but at a
reasonable price.  If you just keep buying millions of shares, the
price sky rockets.

If all kinds of great news is being released and the price is going
up, look at the graphs.  If 5million shares are suddenly sold, the
Managers are unloading Stocks.  If you just keep selling, the price
bottoms and people freak.

It's early, so if this is hard to read or is not clear, just reply


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