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  FHCO - Uptrend move
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leo  
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 More options Sep 18 2009, 12:45 pm
From: leo <tupapa...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 18 Sep 2009 09:45:37 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Sep 18 2009 12:45 pm
Subject: FHCO - Uptrend move
It looks like it found resistance on the 50 day moving average. This
company is undervalue. Good price to jump in.

 
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leo  
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 More options Sep 21 2009, 2:56 pm
From: leo <tupapa...@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 21 Sep 2009 11:56:56 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Mon, Sep 21 2009 2:56 pm
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
I got the undervalued info from the financial statements and calculate
how much the price per share should be.
Yes, you absolutly right about this guy selling everything he owns,
and today the CEO sold 20000 share.
I like this company but dont like when insiders start selling.

On Sep 18, 8:33 pm, Jeremiah Cheatham <jeremiah6...@googlemail.com>
wrote:


 
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theturko  
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 More options Sep 21 2009, 4:13 pm
From: theturko <cengiz.to...@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 21 Sep 2009 13:13:31 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Mon, Sep 21 2009 4:13 pm
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
Very frustrating.. I've lost a bit over 20% myself, and there's really
no real rhyme or reason as to why it goes down ALMOST EVERY DAY.

I jumped in at exactly the wrong time, I thought that 10% drop a few
weeks back was the perfect time, now its just offsetting all my gains
I've had.

On Sep 21, 12:59 pm, Jeremiah Cheatham <jeremiah6...@googlemail.com>
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ualrark  
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 More options Sep 21 2009, 5:10 pm
From: ualrark <ualr...@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 21 Sep 2009 14:10:05 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Mon, Sep 21 2009 5:10 pm
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
Haha. Look what I found. Managing director is a hottie.   :)
If you guys out there are worried about the price fluctuations take a
look at this video and relax a little. I could be wrong but at the
moment its just a price fluctuation. No need to read into it. If the
CEO is selling its his business. Maybe hes buying a new car or
whatever.

http://mktvideo.nasdaq.com/MarketSiteOpenCloseVideos/200907/mo_070809...

On Sep 21, 4:36 pm, Jeremiah Cheatham <jeremiah6...@googlemail.com>
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ualrark  
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 More options Sep 21 2009, 5:13 pm
From: ualrark <ualr...@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 21 Sep 2009 14:13:05 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Mon, Sep 21 2009 5:13 pm
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
Nevermind. Ignore my last. She works for nasdaq, not FHCO. I thought
there was some kind of hidden asset that is not showing on the balance
sheet but my analysis was inaccurate. Sell now while you still can.

On Sep 21, 4:36 pm, Jeremiah Cheatham <jeremiah6...@googlemail.com>
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ualrark  
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 More options Sep 21 2009, 5:27 pm
From: ualrark <ualr...@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 21 Sep 2009 14:27:12 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Mon, Sep 21 2009 5:27 pm
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
Ug. You are taking a keen eye on this discussion forum. Do you really
care what to compare the logic of my thoughts on the company?

On Sep 21, 5:20 pm, Jeremiah Cheatham <jeremiah6...@googlemail.com>
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ualrark  
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 More options Sep 21 2009, 6:20 pm
From: ualrark <ualr...@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 21 Sep 2009 15:20:38 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Mon, Sep 21 2009 6:20 pm
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
Im having a little fun. Actually I wrote up a complete analysis a
couple of hours ago but then decided against it and deleted it. I
researched this company some months ago but had my doubts at the time
so I left it alone but I saw that its been dropping so I bought a
little into it today. Not a large purchase, just a couple of chips on
the table. My mind does not really like redoing something that has
already been written so this isnt going to be as clear or thorough as
the time earlier today that I erased.

The guy who posted earlier about it being undervalued, although I kind
of agree with him, he is probably just a goober. I think that it is
undervalued (or atleast not OVERvalued) for the following reasons:

-I calculated the adjusted 10 year sales growth rate at 24% with the
last 5 years being higher than that. The pe ratio is 22. The earnings
growth is MUCH higher than 24% but I dont think its sustainable and
the company has only been profitable since 2006 so theres not much to
compare.

-in condom discussion forums, outside of women complaining about the
strangeness of these things and the "squeakiness", they also complain
about female condoms being hard to find so that tells me that there is
a lot more potential available for thsi company than what is being
utilized. Plus the company says that the annual market for condoms is
3billion and they only sold abotu 30 million last year so they still
have lots of room. The strange and squeaky opinions kind of bothered
me at first but then I realized how wierd male condoms are in reality
but peopel deal with them beause we have gotten used to them over time
so its likely that some people will get used to these too. Some women
use tampons some use maxipads and some take hormone shots to stop the
menstration. The check on all this is that I am a guy (and a gay one
at that) so knowing much about the validity of this contraption is
like asking a horse what life is like as a car. However, the 10 year
growth in sales is enough for me to believe that this thing is useful
for some people.

-The balance sheet is strong

-This might be a good buyout candidate

About the price fluctuation, I do not think that it is much of a
concern. I bought BAGL at 6/share only to watch it drop to 2.50 and
then go up to 13 where I sold. I bought CMG at 50 right after that it
dropped to 40 and now it is sitting at 90 something. His selling does
not worry me too much, its his business. There could be some kind of
fundamental change going on with the foundation of the company but if
that is the case then I will take the loss and move on but I think
that it is unlikely that the drop from 7 to 5 is indicative of that.
Last month some patent of theirs expired, there is or is going to be a
comparative study of their condoms with some other female condom
product, maybe there is some kind of regulatory change or some sign
that the governmetn orders are going to be dropped or reduced, maybe
one of the big guys are starting to look into making these. It could
be any of those things going on ot more but if he knows something in
those regards that he is not telling us then that is a big nono.

As far as I am concerned they have a very strong argument to make as
to why people/governments shoudl be buying/using. That is what is
attracting me here. Ill probably stay as long as they have enough
fodder to keep making that case.  Now this analysis is not nearly as
thought out as the one that I wrote before. Im mostly just vomiting it
all out. If you have anything good to add about this perhaps we can
investigate into it further.

On Sep 21, 5:32 pm, Jeremiah Cheatham <jeremiah6...@googlemail.com>
wrote:

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ualrark  
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 More options Sep 21 2009, 7:37 pm
From: ualrark <ualr...@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 21 Sep 2009 16:37:13 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Mon, Sep 21 2009 7:37 pm
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
Yeah I made that mistake once before where I made too high of a stake
and the price went tumbling down. It put me in a bad place because as
it dropped it didnt make sense to buy more because it would have made
my stake unreasonable. Its recovered back up to where im at pretty
much zero loss or gain and hopefully ill start to get a chance to
balance out the portfolio a little. One thing that strikes me strange
about this company....they have been doing this for 10 years and they
still do not have a substantial stake in the public market. Why could
that be? They say that they are better off without it, and they can be
right as their growth from USAID and whatnot had been quite fine but
why not put the things on store shelves?

When I think about it I come to 2 possibly dangerous conclusions, 1 -
there is something there that they are worse off if these things are
selling in the market that they are going without it...like it could
get the attention of Trojan and Durex?? I cant think of a better
reason or why it would get their attention more than not on the store
shelves. or 2- people wont but them. Maybe they get good sales from
the public agencies via their argument that pulls on the heart strings
but ultimately its not a desired product.

What do you think about these?

On Sep 21, 7:18 pm, Jeremiah Cheatham <jeremiah6...@googlemail.com>
wrote:

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ualrark  
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 More options Sep 21 2009, 11:23 pm
From: ualrark <ualr...@gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 21 Sep 2009 20:23:59 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Mon, Sep 21 2009 11:23 pm
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
Ahhh. Yes. Very helpful perspective.

If its not catching on in the population, I have to wonder why/how
they keep on getting more and more sales growth every year. It seems
to me that they have a very strong argument that these things are for
women's rights and protection: "if aid is paying for condoms, why only
get MALE condoms? What about women's protection?" It makes sense that
if aid is going to be paying to put a stop to AIDS then they should
get both types availale. But then, if the people are not using the
females, why do the orders keep coming in?  Out of an entire bell
curve of a population, some of the humains out there have to prefer
these things? (Yes? No? Maybe so?) This whole female condom thing is
very surreal for me because I happen to be gay, but a very inactive
one at that so this is like trying to know what it is like for a fish
to breathe water. I probably shouldnt be tinkering in this area at all
but the company/product is simple and the 10 year growth has been so
nice and stable.

On a positive note: I am tending to think that even male condoms are a
bit strange in reality but we humains are all just generally used to
them because of necessity and custom. I guess I get this perspective
because I have been with a variety of males and I have never met
anyone who really 'likes' them but we all, well the smart ones, just
kind of collectively put up with them. Perhaps as these female condoms
are getting disbursed into the population they will, for whatever
preferential reasons, could become a standard practice for X
percentage of the population? Have you tried one of these
contraptions? Has anyone out there who is reading this? Do they really
SQUEEK?? lol.

The other positive note is that FHCO has evolved from FC1 and now have
the improved FC2, perhaps in their research there is the potential to
make even better FCs?

I see what you are saying about africa. That population boom thing
seems to be something that happens to a lot of countries as they
transition out of the stone age to join us in the modern world. India
and China both used to have an obnoxious population growth but have
since contained using their respective methods. Im holding on to hope
that these african countries can accomplish the same. Perhaps worth
the effort to try for it as its better for a country to control
population w lifestyle choice rather than nature controlling it for
them. It does not seem like its an impossible leap to get to the point
where they are getting an education and a worthwhile existence
(hopefully also using lots of female condoms!). Many countries have
and are accomplishing this.

Why did you buy?

On Sep 21, 8:14 pm, Jeremiah Cheatham <jeremiah6...@googlemail.com>
wrote:

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Aagwyn  
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 More options Sep 22 2009, 3:47 pm
From: Aagwyn <parkershigg...@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 22 Sep 2009 12:47:53 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Tues, Sep 22 2009 3:47 pm
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
I got in here pretty early and saw a gain of about 60%. Watching the
drop from the 7.50 mark to here is soooo painful, took about 40% out
of my profits. I originally bought because the company was growing by
leaps and bounds every day it seemed. Every week almost there would be
another nugget of interesting news that would send the shares higher.
Currently, I am baffled by why it has dropped so far so fast. I don't
really see anything as having changed so much to warrant such a
drastic sell-off. The balance sheet is still strong, and the main
source of their income, aid for developing countries, should be
picking up what with the economy starting to rise again. I could sell
now and take a profit, but I think that I'm going to hang onto this
one for a while, or until more news comes out. :/

On Sep 21, 11:23 pm, ualrark <ualr...@gmail.com> wrote:

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Stephen D  
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 More options Sep 23 2009, 2:13 pm
From: Stephen D <dola...@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 23 Sep 2009 11:13:01 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Wed, Sep 23 2009 2:13 pm
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
Wee. Look at her drop like a brick on Jupiter!

On Sep 22, 3:47 pm, Aagwyn <parkershigg...@gmail.com> wrote:

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Sleddawg63  
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 More options Sep 24 2009, 6:27 pm
From: Sleddawg63 <sleddaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 24 Sep 2009 15:27:58 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Sep 24 2009 6:27 pm
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
Parrish is 75 years old!  Who wouldn't cash in their chips after the
run this stock has had.  Probably doesn't condemn the state of this
stock.

On Sep 23, 2:13 pm, Stephen D <dola...@gmail.com> wrote:

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Sleddawg63  
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 More options Sep 25 2009, 8:23 am
From: Sleddawg63 <sleddaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 25 Sep 2009 05:23:05 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Sep 25 2009 8:23 am
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
It's Mr. Market.  This stock is in a corrective mode now...time to buy
buy buy.  The whole market is nervous right now...so down means DOWN.
Even very strong stocks are taking a beating right now.  Will hold,
even average down if needed, then look forward to preliminary numbers
in mid-Nov.

Long on FHCO.

On Sep 24, 7:40 pm, Jeremiah Cheatham <jeremiah6...@googlemail.com>
wrote:

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leo  
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 More options Sep 25 2009, 9:30 am
From: leo <tupapa...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 25 Sep 2009 06:30:40 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Sep 25 2009 9:30 am
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
I agree with Sleddawg63, this is a greate company with a good groth,
i've been average down and I'm holding for long. GLTA

On Sep 25, 7:23 am, Sleddawg63 <sleddaw...@gmail.com> wrote:

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ualrark  
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 More options Sep 25 2009, 11:39 am
From: ualrark <ualr...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 25 Sep 2009 08:39:24 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Sep 25 2009 11:39 am
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
Im kind of hoping that it will drop below 4 to buy some more.

On Sep 25, 9:30 am, leo <tupapa...@gmail.com> wrote:

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Sleddawg63  
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 More options Sep 25 2009, 11:58 am
From: Sleddawg63 <sleddaw...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 25 Sep 2009 08:58:26 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Sep 25 2009 11:58 am
Subject: Re: FHCO - Uptrend move
I'm okay with a drop to 4 as long as it goes to seven first.  ;)

On Sep 25, 11:39 am, ualrark <ualr...@gmail.com> wrote:

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