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sumation  
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 More options Nov 3, 10:14 pm
From: sumation <allenv...@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 3 Nov 2009 19:14:47 -0800 (PST)
Local: Tues, Nov 3 2009 10:14 pm
Subject: Long Term any Outlook on C
Can any other than a Daytrader give me an Outlook on C?

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rdudejr  
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 More options Nov 3, 10:36 pm
From: rdudejr <rdud...@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 3 Nov 2009 19:36:48 -0800 (PST)
Local: Tues, Nov 3 2009 10:36 pm
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
I'm very novice and very young so take what I say with a grain of salt
but....out of all the big banks, BAC, Wells Fargo, ect., C has fallen
hardest (exception being Wachovia who is now non-existent market-
wise).  There median share price over the last 10 years of around $40
indicates to me that, they definately have alot of upside.
Furthermore, unlike BAC, their share price has yet to truly recover.

I feel that once we start to move towards the other side of this
cycle, C will recover along with the other banking stocks.  Because
their stock is so beat up right now, it is a good opportunity to get
in on a financial stock that will defintely right itself along with
the rest of the market.

I guess what I am saying is...C is undervalued and is a good buy.  The
jitters from 3-5 and back to 4 will happen, but when the market begins
to right itself, C will be a fun ride up.

Just my .02

PS  Your going to need to be in C for at least 2-3 years to see this.
This is based on market data I have analyzed all the way back to the
60s.

On Nov 3, 10:14 pm, sumation <allenv...@gmail.com> wrote:


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Jeff  
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 More options Nov 3, 11:10 pm
From: Jeff <jdra...@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 3 Nov 2009 20:10:33 -0800 (PST)
Local: Tues, Nov 3 2009 11:10 pm
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
Uh, if you daytrade, there's no future outlook...you're supposed to
close out your positions by the end of the day...

On Nov 3, 7:36 pm, rdudejr <rdud...@gmail.com> wrote:


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Sham718  
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 More options Nov 3, 11:38 pm
From: Sham718 <shamil.bha...@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 3 Nov 2009 20:38:21 -0800 (PST)
Local: Tues, Nov 3 2009 11:38 pm
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
read before responding.

On Nov 3, 11:10 pm, Jeff <jdra...@gmail.com> wrote:


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Charlie Foreigner  
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 More options Nov 4, 8:39 am
From: Charlie Foreigner <cajolum...@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 4 Nov 2009 05:39:09 -0800 (PST)
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 8:39 am
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
rdudejr
1.- I think that most of us that are long on C agree with your general
position. The economy is recovering and C will recover with it.
2.- Nevertheless there are a lot of very smart people that think C
will go bankrupt or is destined to become a struggling institution and
the reason C shares are so low. They could be right.
3.- C is very likely to emerge as a different company than it was and
not sure it will get back to where it was. At present I doubt its
share prices will appreciate quickly from $4 to let's say $15.

On Nov 3, 10:38 pm, Sham718 <shamil.bha...@gmail.com> wrote:


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rancher9  
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 More options Nov 4, 8:40 am
From: rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net>
Date: Wed, 4 Nov 2009 05:40:00 -0800 (PST)
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
Sumation,

The book value of Citigroup is reported as $6.15 per share. At $4 a
share this stock is a bargain. What is suppressing the price now is
perception. The adage, buy the rumor and sell the news is patently
obvious what is denominating the share’s value. The reasons for the
low price:
·  Fear that the USG’s common equity is or will be dumped
·  Predictions of massive write down of toxic assets
·  Perception (Not a fad stock)
·  Low volatility, volume and momentum
·  Pundits and analysts universally pan the stock
·  Sector malaise

Traditionally banking stock rise slowly and drop fast. If you
investment horizon is longer than a year, you should see a significant
increase in value from $4.

On Nov 3, 9:14 pm, sumation <allenv...@gmail.com> wrote:


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proToss  
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 More options Nov 4, 8:50 am
From: proToss <henry...@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 4 Nov 2009 05:50:48 -0800 (PST)
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 8:50 am
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
what's suppressing this price is the big question how much more
deleveraging they need to make. How much more bad assets they need to
write off? Noone can answer that. Not even Geithner who refuses to
show how the bailout money are being used by these bailout firms. Also
the questions that washington is asking, too big too fail must cease
to exist, bailing out systemic risky institution issues. Surely the
financial institution needs to be chopped up to make it less dangerous
and less systemic. This is why C is where it is. Also don't forget
this company just diluted itself by 400%. I predict we will hold
around 4 until C can convince us that there's nothing toxic left in
their books. Good trading.

On Nov 4, 8:40 pm, rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net> wrote:


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dj1001  
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 More options Nov 4, 10:34 am
From: dj1001 <daj1...@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 4 Nov 2009 07:34:53 -0800 (PST)
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 10:34 am
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
Rancher,

I agree 100% with your synopsis. C is also a heavily shorted stock,
that is why we are where we are price - wise now.

I believe this stock will pop towards the end of the year, as positive
news causes heavy buying interest and causes the price to rise - which
will kill the shorties and force the price up even higher, even
faster.

This is not a good day trade play, go long guys - 1 yr or more.

On Nov 4, 8:40 am, rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net> wrote:


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jimmy  
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 More options Nov 4, 1:14 pm
From: jimmy <bass9...@msn.com>
Date: Wed, 4 Nov 2009 10:14:19 -0800 (PST)
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 1:14 pm
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
C is going to have problems until senior management get their heads
out of the ground and do something with all that cash. Banks are
suppose to be in the business of lending to expand other businesses,
to generate revenues or profit and to take advantage of the multiplier
effect not cash hoarding. Also, management has not made any statements
concerning a three year plan to repurchase the government shares. They
appear to be sitting in limbo while waiting for the next great flood.
C price function has not received any positive inputs from the company
to give investors any reason to move it up. All we hear is negative
stories from people who are betting against the company.

On Nov 3, 10:14 pm, sumation <allenv...@gmail.com> wrote:


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C  
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 More options Nov 4, 7:27 pm
From: C <chad...@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 4 Nov 2009 16:27:51 -0800 (PST)
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 7:27 pm
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
C is doing the right thing in holding all that cash ... gotta make
sure the economy is definitely on the path to recovery before
investing that hoard of cash ... one bitten ... twice shy ... buffet
has the right idea ... keep on investing in this awesome country
called the USA ... sure it has it's flaws ... but when it comes down
to it ... the USA kicks ass!!!

On Nov 4, 12:14 pm, jimmy <bass9...@msn.com> wrote:


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rdudejr  
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 More options Nov 4, 11:45 pm
From: rdudejr <rdud...@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 4 Nov 2009 20:45:07 -0800 (PST)
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 11:45 pm
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C

Glad to hear there are a few agreeing with me. A few more points:

citi is an obvious risk(losses last few quarters, heavy dilution,
hands still deep in troubled assests) that is why the price is low
liqued cash is good for them, acts as a bancruptcy buoy.
They nearly turned a profit last quarter for crying out loud, and they
paid dividends until January.

This is not a company plotting restructure. This is a company building
it's brick wall to replace it's stick house that was just blown over.
Just in case te bad wolf of a recession comes round again. I plan on
continuing to buy modestly in the dips and ride it up.

On Nov 4, 7:27 pm, C <chad...@gmail.com> wrote:


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wellcraft2400  
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 More options Nov 5, 3:31 am
From: wellcraft2400 <wellcraft2...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 5 Nov 2009 00:31:57 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 5 2009 3:31 am
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
I don't intend to be rude or disrespectful to anyone, but the rose-
colored glasses have got to come off.

rdudejr and jimmy - your views are both accurate.

rancher9:
1. Citi's true book value is a currently a joke, less than 1.00/share;
the values you show reflect "adjustments".
2. CIti will trade sideways to year end; consumer's will not be buying
this holiday season as in the past and Citi is largely dependant on
consumer credit, and they are the most aggregious in hiking fees.

dj1001 - not true; I've made $19,000.00 since OCT 01 day-trading Citi,
8/11 long trades, one to three days per trade, average 0.08 per trade/
share; search my posts, specfically "Lone Ranger at Citi".

C - your post is conflicting; "...right thing in hoarding all that
cash" vs. "keep on investing in this country..." - this is one of the
primary reasons for the economy stalling, which it is, but it seems
everyone is in la-la land.  Banks hoarding cash is one of the worst
possible actions, since debt is a fundamental aspect of *investing*
industry and consumer; no money, no growth, spending.  That's why tens
of thousands of businesses are complaining and struggling, they can't
borrow the capital to carry and grow thier businesses.  For that very
reason is why we see so many IPO's, to raise necessary cash.

Citi will not turn a true profit in Q4 and most likely not until Q2/Q3
2010.  Q3 earnings were a joke, what, 100M, and all the "buts...".
For most of us Citi is an excellent long-term investment; they have
not participated in recovering as have the other powerhouse
financials, for obvious reasons.  However, when they finally get their
act together it will be rewarding.

On Nov 4, 11:45 pm, rdudejr <rdud...@gmail.com> wrote:


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??  
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 More options Nov 5, 8:51 am
From: "??" <ksiem...@optonline.net>
Date: Thu, 5 Nov 2009 05:51:30 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 5 2009 8:51 am
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
Wellcraft, appreciate the fresh perspective that you are bring to this
forum.
You are of course reiterating what the President has said publicly.
But isn't Treasury telling banks that they have to maintain a certain
amount of cash? Why does there seem to be a conflict here?

On Nov 5, 3:31 am, wellcraft2400 <wellcraft2...@gmail.com> wrote:


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wellcraft2400  
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 More options Nov 5, 4:12 pm
From: wellcraft2400 <wellcraft2...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 5 Nov 2009 13:12:17 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 5 2009 4:12 pm
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
??, your views as well are insightful, or is that inciteful ::))  I
would suppose my thoughts on this issue parallel those of the
President because it makes good sense.  You are of course correct in
that Treasury is mandating a minimum reserve level, but CIti is
"reserving" in the extreme - the link below should help explain the
conflict.  Regards, Wellcraft

http://www.businessinsider.com/citi-is-forfeiting-8-billion-per-year-...

On Nov 5, 8:51 am, "??" <ksiem...@optonline.net> wrote:


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wellcraft2400  
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 More options Nov 5, 4:24 pm
From: wellcraft2400 <wellcraft2...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 5 Nov 2009 13:24:55 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 5 2009 4:24 pm
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
??, in my previous post I could not locate another article on the
subject, similiar, but includes:

Highlights of the article:
Other banks - 21% liquidity (cash)
Citigroup - 24% liquidity (cash)

"The caution, which may help restore confidence in the financial
system, offers little comfort to shareholders, who can expect to see
shrinking returns as banks put money into liquid investments that
yield one-twelfth the interest rates of loans."

The additional 3% of liquidity amounts to a fortune in unrealized
revenue, therein my overall point.

Article: http://bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aQokWJUKo2d0&pos=5

Regards, Wellcraft

On Nov 5, 8:51 am, "??" <ksiem...@optonline.net> wrote:


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wellcraft2400  
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 More options Nov 5, 4:37 pm
From: wellcraft2400 <wellcraft2...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 5 Nov 2009 13:37:54 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 5 2009 4:37 pm
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
And to my other point, rising credit card interest rates.  My son has
a stellar history with Citi; one month ago they raised his rate from
7.4% to 15.2%, 110% increase.  Most are raising their rates
disproportionate to the economy.  Capital One on the other hand
charges me 4.9%, but they never collect a dime of it because my
objective with a credit card is convenience, nothing else.  In five
years I've never paid any interest because my view is simple - 'if you
can't afford to pay cash you can't afford it.'  I realize that others
are either not so fortunate, or disciplined, as the case may be, but
30% on revolving credit is highway robbery, period.

http://www.businessinsider.com/citi-customers-reach-out-to-us-2009-10

Wellcraft

On Nov 5, 4:24 pm, wellcraft2400 <wellcraft2...@gmail.com> wrote:


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??  
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 More options Nov 5, 5:28 pm
From: "??" <ksiem...@optonline.net>
Date: Thu, 5 Nov 2009 14:28:41 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 5 2009 5:28 pm
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C

"Nov. 2 (Bloomberg) -- Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. are
hoarding cash as if another crisis were on the way." (O.K.).
In JPMorgan's case true, because it has a greater mortgage, and
commercial real estate exposure now. But just maybe Citigroup is
collecting *excessive* cash for another coming crisis . . . and . . .
to pay back TARP? After all isn't all about executive pay anyway? The
quickest method back to excessive executive bonuses is to repay TARP.
Since the USG has no voting rights on it's common and can not sell all
at once, Citi can re-instate their big pay packages again.
The shortest distant between two points is a straight line; when it
comes to money, bankers think straight line. (ex. USG pay master tells
Citi "No" big executive bonuses; so Citi just gives their people pay
raises instead. Just a little slap in the taxpayers face) As the pappy
of one of our respected posters once said: "A banker will take your
money and your property, and then go to bed happy." Share price will
continue to creep up, with lots of volatility. We are all here to make
money on the stock.

On Nov 5, 4:24 pm, wellcraft2400 <wellcraft2...@gmail.com> wrote:


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??  
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 More options Nov 5, 5:40 pm
From: "??" <ksiem...@optonline.net>
Date: Thu, 5 Nov 2009 14:40:15 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Nov 5 2009 5:40 pm
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
Wellcraft, have you checked your e-mail?

On Nov 5, 4:37 pm, wellcraft2400 <wellcraft2...@gmail.com> wrote:


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wellcraft2400  
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 More options Nov 6, 12:21 am
From: wellcraft2400 <wellcraft2...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 5 Nov 2009 21:21:55 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Nov 6 2009 12:21 am
Subject: Re: Long Term any Outlook on C
Aaron, I just did.  Please restrain your laughter, for all my
"smarts", (ha), internet technology is *not* one of my finer points.
I've just of late become reasonably efficient with the Google finance
boards and I *never* seem to remember to check the email side of the
account.  I suppose part of it is that unlike Outlook Express, there's
no indication that I have email.  And in my line of work, in which I'm
involved more than I prefer, I've found it easy to just pop on Google,
scan the boards, share my thoughts and views and pop off.  I might
need a bit more coaxing along with a lot of patience.  Regards,
Wellcraft

On Nov 5, 5:40 pm, "??" <ksiem...@optonline.net> wrote:


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