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  Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?
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Nick123  
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 More options Jul 9 2012, 11:04 pm
From: Nick123 <anit...@hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 9 Jul 2012 20:04:08 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Mon, Jul 9 2012 11:04 pm
Subject: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

Will they be positive or -ve ? If  street views it as -ve the stock
could drop 7-10%, if positive the reverse could occur. At $26 it is
hovering around support.


 
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??  
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 More options Jul 10 2012, 9:50 am
From: "??" <kwikkleencarw...@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 10 Jul 2012 06:50:39 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Tues, Jul 10 2012 9:50 am
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?
I believe there are a few clues to suggest that Citi will beat
estimates. But on the other hand I would not mind a 10% drop in pps to
stack a couple more shares away. Ultimately we are just passing time
until Citigroup announces a successful buyback agreement. My focus
lately has been on all things related to Natural gas.

On Jul 9, 11:04 pm, Nick123 <anit...@hotmail.com> wrote:


 
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pigin...@gmail.com  
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 More options Jul 10 2012, 11:35 am
From: pigin...@gmail.com
Date: Tue, 10 Jul 2012 08:35:20 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Tues, Jul 10 2012 11:35 am
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

The only question is to how big the loss will be. I follow this stock more closely than anyone on this board and I am telling you to GET OUT NOW!  All the pumpers, en.ron, jeffy, turbo, slider, etc. have long since moved on. I recommend shorting it.


 
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Dep S  
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 More options Jul 10 2012, 1:05 pm
From: Dep S <chelsead...@gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 10 Jul 2012 10:05:18 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Tues, Jul 10 2012 1:05 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

Nothing would make me happier than to see your self respect be built up by
being right piginsoc but for the six or eight months I have been reading
here your advice has always been very bad and thats one of the reasons why
people make fun of you. Just those $23 puts alone that you were
recommending would have lost somebody their shirt. Why dont you just listen
a little more and talk a little less and learn more about investing before
you try to give other people advice and make yourself look foolish? Even
experts like Rancher9 and ?? dont tell people what to do. My prayers for
you today will be that you acquire some wisdom and learn some manners


 
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Rancher9  
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 More options Jul 11 2012, 8:35 am
From: Rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net>
Date: Wed, 11 Jul 2012 05:35:33 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Wed, Jul 11 2012 8:35 am
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

The problem with predicting the range of drop or rise based
on fundamentals of earnings is, the movement is not based on fundamentals.
 There are very few retail investors left in the market in general. If new
money comes in to a stock it bounces between black boxes a few thousand
times run by the big houses ans hedge funds.

Citigroup's price is not set by fundamentals for a few reasons:

   1. Macro economic- The world is suffering from a recession
   2. Sector erosion- The business practices of the big banks are corrupt
   3. Loss of Good Will- Like the Exxon Valdez oil spill,
   this intangible asset is hard to recover once lost.
   4. Q2 is a tough one to have big earnings surprises.
   5. The dollar is strengthening in relations to other currencies. Since
   most of Cite's growth is in the emerging market, we are bucking a headwind.


 
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Rancher9  
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 More options Jul 11 2012, 1:54 pm
From: Rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net>
Date: Wed, 11 Jul 2012 10:54:13 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Wed, Jul 11 2012 1:54 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

 The Numbers to beat "The current estimates: 0.90 EPS and $18.93-B in
revenue."
http://www.livetradingnews.com/bank-earnings-preview-jpm-wfc-bac-c-gs...


 
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Dep S  
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 More options Jul 11 2012, 2:32 pm
From: Dep S <chelsead...@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 11 Jul 2012 11:32:47 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Wed, Jul 11 2012 2:32 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

Are you laying any odds?


 
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??  
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 More options Jul 11 2012, 4:01 pm
From: "??" <kwikkleencarw...@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 11 Jul 2012 13:01:44 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Wed, Jul 11 2012 4:01 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?
It has always been my understanding that major contributors to a
stock's price are Earnings and Interest Rates. Since I'm not an expert
as Dep has claimed I will yield to your thesis mostly because it does
sound pretty damned convincing.

Perhaps if less "interesting times" where in place the Earnings clues
in the current data are:

.78 to 1.03 earnings per share.

1) Reporting Jun/11 earning surprise was +14%, Oct/11:+52%, Dec/11:
(-24%) and Mar/12: +10% (in other words 3out of 4 quarters beat
consensus).
2) Net income Mar/12 was almost 3X previous Quarter.
3) Profit margins: 2010:(-25%), 2011:(-2%) and so far 2012:+5%
4) Citi sold 10% Akbank, and 14% JV MSSB (the later as scheduled with
MS)
5) $14.00 Free Cash Flow per Share.
6) Analyst views are skewed negatively due to Citigroups buyback/
divide scuffle. (just guessing here)

Number 2 and 3 of (your reasons) are in my opinion the most
indisputable and troubling.

Looking forward to less "interesting times" and the mythical belief
that if Citigroup's pps remains low at the time of announcing the "Big
buyback", citigroup warrants will come into the money.

On Jul 11, 8:35 am, Rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net> wrote:


 
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Nick123  
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 More options Jul 11 2012, 10:49 pm
From: Nick123 <anit...@hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 11 Jul 2012 19:49:35 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Wed, Jul 11 2012 10:49 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?
Returning money back to investors, Big Buyback 2011, 2012,
2013 ....... The day they fire Pandit, see the stock jump more than
the best earnings

On Jul 11, 1:01 pm, "??" <kwikkleencarw...@gmail.com> wrote:


 
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Rancher9  
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 More options Jul 12 2012, 8:24 am
From: Rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net>
Date: Thu, 12 Jul 2012 05:24:57 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Jul 12 2012 8:24 am
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

A quick history:

   1. Mid 2000 Greenspan coined the word "Excessive Exuberance"
   2. 2008 the Housing bubble stretched to the limit.
   3. 2009 for Citigroup, along with the entire banking system,
   equity disappeared requireing the government to jump in with cash.
   4. Pandit and the Board repaid the government with shares of stock in
   order to do that they had to come to us, the holders of share, and request
   that more shares be printed. We gave the go ahead.
   5. The Government sold the common shares into the open market. They
   still retain some preferred shares but for the most part they are out of
   the company.
   6. The problem at this point is too many shares at too low a price.
   Therefore the number of shares needed to be downsized.
   7. With the consent of the share holders a 1 for 10 reverse
   split occurred.
   8. The perfect storm of events, I listed earlier in this thread, has
   depressed the PPS well below book value for a long time.  

Going forward, stock buyback along with bigger dividend should return value
to the long suffering share holders. However, there are hurdles to overcome
not the least of which are government meddling and the world recession.


 
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Nick123  
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 More options Jul 12 2012, 11:35 am
From: Nick123 <anit...@hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 12 Jul 2012 08:35:21 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Jul 12 2012 11:35 am
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?
Too many shares at too low a price ! lol !. It was still double the
PPS of what it is now. The majority common shareholder voted against
the split in 2011, but the govt voted for it and the split happened
because govt held about 25% of the votes. It is easy for someone like
you to be blinded or ignore the facts when you came into  C after the
split, ask any share holder what he thinks of the split who owned th
shares before the split. To lose 20-30% % or more of the stock value
just because of the split is not palatable for anyone except perhaps
for someone like you who  could get shares in the $20's because of
it.But for the split, C would have been trading at least in the $4-$5
range as it usually did. The management, esp Pandit does needs to be
fired

On Jul 12, 5:24 am, Rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net> wrote:


 
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Rancher9  
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 More options Jul 12 2012, 12:13 pm
From: Rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net>
Date: Thu, 12 Jul 2012 09:13:32 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Jul 12 2012 12:13 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

   - I stand by to many shares. The Shares outstanding before the reverse
   split was more than the largest corporation Exxon Mobile. Something had to
   be done.
   - I have been purchasing Citigroup since April 2009. My first post to
   this forum was May 15, 2009. I bought the majority of my shares before RS.
   My average cost is currently $35.69. Since I am one of the "Before the
   Split" owners I am not blind or ignoring the facts.
   - The beauty of a long position is time is on your side. If the Company
   is making a profit and that  profit is growing, then the value to the
   shareholder will grow.
   - You only lose 20 to 30% if you sell at a loss. Playing options and
   short selling has the disadvantage of the time penalty. I buy and hold
   forever. If the stock becomes worthless then I can use the tax rite off.
   - It is a fact, we are not dealing with one man one vote but one share
   one vote. The golden rule here is the man with the gold makes the rules.
   - The shareholders did vote against management this year,
   my wife included

I think below $25 s a good point to add more shares.


 
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Nick123  
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 More options Jul 12 2012, 1:07 pm
From: Nick123 <anit...@hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 12 Jul 2012 10:07:02 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Jul 12 2012 1:07 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?
I admire your fortitude, I am not sure I could take the bleeding this
long. I got stopped out at $33 and now only dabble in C options, which
have been fairly profitable so far. Plan to buy below $25 and sell
north of around $30. I disagree with reverse split, the honorable way
to decrease the shares outstanding was to buy them back and retire
them. that would have jumped the PPS, but expecting C to do something
honorable for for the benefit of the common share holder is like
expecting the devil to put out the fire.

On Jul 12, 9:13 am, Rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net> wrote:


 
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Dep S  
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 More options Jul 12 2012, 1:14 pm
From: Dep S <chelsead...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 12 Jul 2012 10:14:05 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Jul 12 2012 1:14 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

Im with you Rancher9 Im in no hurry with this. Sure I hate it when theres a
big drop but thats just because old lawmen dont like any kind of sudden
moves. If I can come close to doubling my money in 3 or 4 years then
putting up with this will be worth it


 
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pigin...@gmail.com  
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 More options Jul 12 2012, 3:43 pm
From: pigin...@gmail.com
Date: Thu, 12 Jul 2012 12:43:09 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Jul 12 2012 3:43 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

Buy and hold is NOT a trading strategy!!  And I told you this crash was coming.


 
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Dep S  
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 More options Jul 12 2012, 3:47 pm
From: Dep S <chelsead...@gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 12 Jul 2012 12:47:56 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Jul 12 2012 3:47 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

Who are you talking to piginsoc? Why are you so upset about somebody buying
and holding? We havent seen you for a day or two so did something bad
happen to you?


 
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??  
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 More options Jul 13 2012, 8:25 am
From: "??" <kwikkleencarw...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 13 Jul 2012 05:25:42 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Jul 13 2012 8:25 am
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?
 "A paper from the New England Complex Systems Institute claims that
they have found evidence that suggests the 2008 financial crisis was
triggered by a "Bear Raid" market manipulation by short sellers
against Citigroup late in 2007. The uptick rule was repealed in in
July, 2007, and the alleged bear raid took place in November, 2007."

Citigroup took it on the chin with the 10-1 RS (a bold move) in order
to escape the unrelenting short raids, flash trading, to reset and
once again begin to grow the company. RS has nothing to do with honor.
It's all about surviving and positioning.

It really is to soon by a long shot to say whether Vikram Pandit is
genius or a failure. I really believe it is the former.

1) Aware of Citi's vulnerabilities, Pandit started selling non-core
assets as new CEO
2) Pandit created the framework for an "emerging market bank with the
focus on high value clients and corporations".
3) Created Citi-holdings to separate the toxic from the new Citigroup
4) Get out from under the relentless flash trading and short selling
by changing the ratios. (shareholder value basically remained the
same)
5) Yet to be done: Institute a share buyback and divide that will
restore stability.

All of this is being accomplished despite Europe falling apart, the
economy slowing and the need to get assets in place before the
competition does.

On Jul 12, 1:07 pm, Nick123 <anit...@hotmail.com> wrote:


 
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??  
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 More options Jul 13 2012, 12:07 pm
From: "??" <kwikkleencarw...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 13 Jul 2012 09:07:07 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Jul 13 2012 12:07 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?
JPM same quarter lower but still beats consensus.

On Jul 13, 8:25 am, "??" <kwikkleencarw...@gmail.com> wrote:


 
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Rancher9  
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 More options Jul 13 2012, 12:11 pm
From: Rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net>
Date: Fri, 13 Jul 2012 09:11:26 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Jul 13 2012 12:11 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

In January 2009 Citigroup was trading below the $5 level which is
the minimum price for listing as a DOW industrial stock. If they had chosen
to do a 1 for 10 Reverse split they could have, on paper, kept their
listing. However it had never been done. On June 8, 2012 Citigroup was
delisted and Bank of America replaced it.

July1, 2009 AIG did a 1 for 20 reverse split to stop its free-fall. In this
country, there are very few companies that survive more than a year after a
reverse split. A RS are seen as the last desperate grasp at straws for a
drowning company.  AIG demonstrated that a company could survive the
stigma. about 2 years later on May 6, 2011 it was  Citigroup's turn
to execute a RS.  They did it for  different reasons as  I have pointed.

Executing this Reverse split is a gutsy move. It was not without cost
but Citigroup has survived. I do not think the future story will be
dominated by a life or death struggle.

...

read more »


 
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??  
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 More options Jul 13 2012, 12:12 pm
From: "??" <kwikkleencarw...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 13 Jul 2012 09:12:21 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Jul 13 2012 12:12 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

Plus; Sour Trade from $2B to 5$5.8B
On Jul 13, 12:07 pm, "??" <kwikkleencarw...@gmail.com> wrote:


 
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Rancher9  
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 More options Jul 13 2012, 12:26 pm
From: Rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net>
Date: Fri, 13 Jul 2012 09:26:28 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Jul 13 2012 12:26 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

Here is another estimate for what it is worth:
"
On Monday, July 16th, *Citigroup Inc. *will tell us how its second quarter
went. Forecasters are saying the bank is likely to generate $18.76 billion
in revenue, compared to $20.62 billion for the same quarter in 2011. Per
share earnings for C are expected to roll in at $0.89, versus $1.09 from a
year ago.
http://www.smallcapnetwork.com/Bank-Earnings-Are-Hit-Miss-So-Far-C-JP...


 
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Dep S  
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 More options Jul 13 2012, 1:13 pm
From: Dep S <chelsead...@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 13 Jul 2012 10:13:35 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Jul 13 2012 1:13 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

Why do you think that is Rancher9? The economy hasnt grown that much since
last year but it has at least grown a little so I wonder why C hasnt been
able to ride that. And if earning are expected to be down why are we up so
much today when not much seems to have changed since the beginning of the
week?


 
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Rancher9  
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 More options Jul 13 2012, 5:44 pm
From: Rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net>
Date: Fri, 13 Jul 2012 14:44:35 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Jul 13 2012 5:44 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

I do not think that. The Earnings estimate of $0.89 probably came out
of someones ass.

The reason Citigroup is up so much today is JPM's earned more than the fish
entrails Profits predicted.  A close look at JPM's numbers show that some
of the losses were shifted to Q1. Probably some of the losses will be
reported in a revision to Q2  in Q3 and then some more losses reported in
Q3. It  is a accounting shell game. The result of these legal maneuvers is
an upward surprise! The whole market is a rudderless sailboat drifting in
the wind.

OK, enough negativity.

Monday, Citigroup will most-likely surprise on the upside. At least that
the pattern form the Profits of Wall Street. Then the news out


 
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Nick123  
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 More options Jul 13 2012, 6:16 pm
From: Nick123 <anit...@hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 13 Jul 2012 15:16:59 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Jul 13 2012 6:16 pm
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?
Sometimes I wonder about you Rancher, I sometimes see you make logic
to support our positions. As for doing a  reverse split to escape
constant bear raids was the dumbest idea, since when the stock price
is higher, it is easier to be successful in shorting a stock like C.
the bottom just moved from approx $4 to $25($2.50 before split). C
listing or delisiting as Dow stock does not mean jack to its stock
price is pretty apparent.

On Jul 13, 9:11 am, R

...

read more »


 
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Rancher9  
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 More options Jul 13 2012, 7:18 pm
From: Rancher9 <Ranch...@ctesc.net>
Date: Fri, 13 Jul 2012 16:18:00 -0700 (PDT)
Subject: Re: Earnings July 16 any thoughts ?

The bear raid has been covered. The DOW stock thing is an "old
money prejudice" I have. "If it is a listed Dow Stock, It will earn
a consistent 10% annual growth."  The argument is A DOW stock are
prestigious enough to attract the best and the brightest.
These young and inventive recruits will find a solution to the mistakes
made.

There is a premium and deference granted to a DOW stock. old money
corporations do not do certain things.RS while listed is not done.

 Like it or not young Mr. Pandit  set in motion a game plane that is unique.

...

read more »


 
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