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  could someone explain this stock movement?
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hatembena...@gmail.com  
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 More options Mar 16, 8:36 am
From: hatembena...@gmail.com
Date: Mon, 16 Mar 2009 05:36:30 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Mon, Mar 16 2009 8:36 am
Subject: could someone explain this stock movement?
I am new to this stock and I have a question about its price movement.
It's a gold stock, so I thought the stock price should move up or down
depends on gold spot price on that trading day. However, I normally
found out that this stock didn't move in the same direction most of
the time. Could someone explain to me why? Thank you.

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katchum...@yahoo.com.hk  
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 More options Mar 17, 2:54 am
From: katchum...@yahoo.com.hk
Date: Mon, 16 Mar 2009 23:54:36 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Tues, Mar 17 2009 2:54 am
Subject: Re: could someone explain this stock movement?
Well, the gold price did go down a bit. And there are people (like me)
who sold gold to put into financial rallies.

On 16 mrt, 13:36, hatembena...@gmail.com wrote:


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rlmzpaul...@gmail.com  
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 More options Apr 1, 6:33 pm
From: rlmzpaul...@gmail.com
Date: Wed, 1 Apr 2009 15:33:34 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Wed, Apr 1 2009 6:33 pm
Subject: Re: could someone explain this stock movement?

This is why commodities can't be used for barter currency. Big forces
won't let them, and keep them unstable on purpose.

There are many competing factors woven into gold through the economy,
foreign exchange, interest rates, and the risk induced by fiat
currencies. It's the hidden powerful forces unseen injecting
uncertainty (it's certain for them) into any commodity that could
serve as the basis for a barter economy.

Major trends in Gold is controlled by big institutions namely
governments all with fiat currencies. They have a vested interest to
keep people out of gold. The day hyper  inflation kicks in and people
start bartering gold for goods, these big spending governments
constantly are diluting their currencies with the bailouts. Each
government has a banking shell so to speak. in the US, it's JPM. They
swing huge derivatives (options/futures) to influence the price of
gold and to swing it making it volatile and hard to hold without big
risks.  Gold volatility is double our currency either the euro or the
USD:

GLD 28.2%
UUP (dollar) 14%
FXE (Euro) 16.3%
USO (sweet crude)( 67.5%)
FXA (australian dollar) 23.16%

Now look at gold/silver companies volatility:
AUY 80%
EGO  77%
GG  67%
SSRI 85%
HL  113%
GFI 70%

These volatiles will shake you out. If you look in your bag of
comodities from day to day you get very different answers.These
comodities should not be acting like this. They should track supply/
demand and their worth should steadily increase as currencies are
deflated. That is not what they do however.  They are being
manipulated by powerful forces unseen and for good reasons known by
the wise men of the powerful and hidden.

 How could gold be worth 1000 dollars then 700 in less than a year and
meanwhile the money supply is increasing at an accelerating rate (and
not matched by productivity gains)? If a currency fails, gold will be
even higher, but When?. Regardless, the gov's will inflate  the
currency like a frog gets cooked in slowly warmed water without
jumping out. It will keep you distracted. They kill the currency
slowly and surely and all fiat currencies will fail. That is a
certainty. the question is when?

The currency collapses when people wake up and say hey. But are we
critical thinkers or mindless sheep in this world? Yes, world. That is
when a new perception creates a new reality. In the meantime, you play
it "safe" and buy gold and watch your net worth go up and down like a
yo-yo while another is getting poorer at a consistent rate earning 3%
on his long bond why money is inflated 7%.The difference is that his
net worth gets lower and lower consistently instead of jumping around
like a man stepping on hot coals and pretty soon you jump out with a
nasty burn. Was that fun? You don't even know how much money is being
inflated. Every time a loan is granted, money inflates and the gov
doesn't tell you how much it just prints.

They say perception is reality and it is. Gold is more than twice as
hard to hold ie risky (and that is if you constantly hedge it to
remove drift) than the dollar or euro and fiat currencies need that to
be so. Put 300K in gold and see how well you sleep at night. Behind
the scenes powerful interests move gold prices specifically to induce
volatility. People driven to buy gold are risk averse and exactly the
people that get shaken out. Also, there is not enough gold to be a
currency and keeping a gold standard would actually hurt economic
growth as lending increases the money supply and is a key reason it
was dropped.

Gold companies are even worse as they are uncertainty amplifiers
trying to respond to demand and the high costs of extraction. When the
markets are being whipped by extremely powerful forces (what bank does
the vactican put all those donations compounded for 1500 years?), what
does that do to the supply/demand equations for a capital intensive
industry. Also gold demand is driven by mostly inflation, fear of fiat
currency collapse, and jewelery. Jewelery purchases drop in hard times
and investor demand picks up only if there are hyper inflation or
deflation fears. Can you see what a mess this is? You have a gold
minor having to deal with high costs of extraction with large capital
costs and an unstable and manipulated demand when jewelery sales tank.
How do you project capitall investment?

The point is governments with fiat currencies that print money with
easy credit are afraid of the barter economy.  It's hard to tax and
reduces the demand for money that becomes more worthless each day.
Each dollar of reserve creates 8 times as many dollars in circulation.
That is how money is printed and when no-one wants loans then gov's
print money directly and withhold money supply data (M3? where did it
go?).

So, what's the answer? Keep people stupid and believing a dollar is
worth a dollar. Make the cost of holding the alternatives extremely
high (ie volatility). Keep money seemingly stable and whip gold and
commodity prices around wildly using derivatives. They will teach you
to hold dollars instead of gold when you get shaken out selling for a
loss since you cannot take the strain of watching your gold move from
300 to 1000 to 700 and back..
. .
If gold smoothly and slowly, everyone would own it. There would be an
electronic version of a gold based paypal. This is what the unseen
powerful forces fear. They would loose control. It will happen but
when. In the meantime, the unseen powerful forces behind moves will
kill you with their gyrations and trading skill. You could easily get
shaken out of comodities and loose everything by denominating in gold.

One answer is to trade volatility but to do that you need to know the
direction. It oscillates between calm and wildly shaking. And just
when you are really scared or really contented, it changes. the
average is still positive. Volatility is always >0. The powerful
forces know the direction since they purposely control volatility.
They don't care which way they move a market. They just have to move
it a lot to shake apples (ie your positions) out of the tree.
Volatility induces fear and investor fear creates consistent profits
for the wise and powerful. These powerful will even create wars to
induce fear and distract the populous.

In a nutshell, the wise and powerful cook the average business owner
and wage earner by slowly inflating the fiat currency. He doesn't
hedge and gets pooer slowly and some day the currency fails. The
powerful and wise fry the critical thinkers who know fiat currencies
will fail by creating a frying pan of volatility using endless amounts
of liquidity and amplified derivatives. They then bleed these
"thinkers" dry by using the fear induced by their volatility. They
lose all there money at once. There is no way to win since a force
that can move markets can dip in at any time and take what it wants.
The few that hold commodities and were fearless not shaken out when
the currency fails will be doing great. However, the country will be a
disaster when that happens and the music will stop. It's no fun being
right but alone. The wise know it.

Just watch, GFI will be up to a 13 week high, the suckers will come
in, then it will tank or but up hugely for no reason. Why? the
powerful know why and it's called inducing volatility in a medium of
potential barter. They kill the potential of barter by making the
worth change radically day to day. These are forces with billions of
dollars swinging derivatives (puts/calls/futures/swaps) with easy
credit.

On Mar 16, 6:36 am, hatembena...@gmail.com wrote:


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rlmzpaul...@gmail.com  
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 More options Apr 1, 6:38 pm
From: rlmzpaul...@gmail.com
Date: Wed, 1 Apr 2009 15:38:26 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Wed, Apr 1 2009 6:38 pm
Subject: Re: could someone explain this stock movement?
In this last post, correction:

I said "They should track supply/
demand and their worth should steadily increase as currencies are
deflated."

I meant inflated, that is increasing of money supply greater than
productivity gains.

On Apr 1, 4:33 pm, rlmzpaul...@gmail.com wrote:


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katchum...@yahoo.com.hk  
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 More options Apr 2, 10:22 am
From: katchum...@yahoo.com.hk
Date: Thu, 2 Apr 2009 07:22:24 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Thurs, Apr 2 2009 10:22 am
Subject: Re: could someone explain this stock movement?
So, did GFI fall today because no one needs gold anymore as safety?

On 2 apr, 00:38, rlmzpaul...@gmail.com wrote:


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bleife...@hotmail.com  
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 More options Apr 6, 5:28 pm
From: bleife...@hotmail.com
Date: Mon, 6 Apr 2009 14:28:13 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Mon, Apr 6 2009 5:28 pm
Subject: Re: could someone explain this stock movement?
RLMZ

Good post.

I am wanting a 2-3 % gain in this stock then I am on to other things.
You are on track with the govt actions on gold.  At 14 I am out and
can stay in down to 8 if necessary.


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disya...@gmail.com  
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 More options Jun 5, 9:35 am
From: disya...@gmail.com
Date: Fri, 5 Jun 2009 06:35:58 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Fri, Jun 5 2009 9:35 am
Subject: Re: could someone explain this stock movement?
People tend to ignore risk in the stock market. The primary goal to
invest/trade in the stock markets is to make money.  However, we will
never achieve this goal if we do not know why and how to manage risk.
It is always safety first! Here is a good read http://tinyurl.com/c9xntw

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